About your Search

20130318
20130326
Search Results 0 to 12 of about 13 (some duplicates have been removed)
it doesn't. maybe we get a debt ceiling fight down the road. washington still hanging on this economy to a great degree, it means the fed -- also nowhere near the unemployment target. there's nothing in the numbers to suggest the fed would be anything but completely dovish. >> sue? >> josh is going to join the conversation now. i think basically ben set it up for us perfectly. it does seem to be the u.s. fed versus the rest of the world. and once again mr. bernanke is presented with a crisis in another part of the world which may have to influence what he does here in the united states. >> that's exactly right. cyprus is going to play a big role in how he deals with europe. i think the fed wants to be curbs. if it's going to make any kind of move, it wants that move to be successful. that's going to be a guiding principle going forward. we have to remember there's a lot of forward looking events like that debt ceiling issue which is going to crop up in the middle of may. how we handle that will influence the economy going forward. we have to think forward when we read through the fed.
have crazy -- another complication over the debt ceiling. at this point, it is dysfunct n dysfunctional politics getting in the way of an economy gradually getting its act together. >> does the economy in terms of federal finances need what's been characterized as a grand bargain? do you think it's possible? i was listening to a political analyst who said if a grand bargain means somebody has to -- each side has to sign on to raising tacks and cutting entitlement, he knew of no politician who would buy that bargain. >> i don't think it's likely, but i wouldn't put it this way. i would say the division between the parties is too large. that we've -- we as republicans basically have not acknowledged the election. that's the problem. it is not urgent. the congressional budget office debt projections show pretty much stable u.s. indetectivedness for the next ten years. they do not show anything that looks like a crisis. we have long, long run problems but not anything that has to be dealt with this year or five years from now or seven years from now. >> are you worried about t
, sequester, the debt ceiling, all of those issues seem to be moving out later into the year. so as a result the impediments that were slowing the economy down over the last couple of quarters we think will result in better economic growth. the equity market is starting to sense that. i think to some degree that is some of the reasons why the markets ignored washington and ignored sandy so far this year and is up 10% or so. >> that is why you have such a bullish forecast for the s&p. you are calling for it to end the year at 16.60. it is all going to play out pretty strongly. >> we think corporate earnings will chug along may increase about $108 full year for the s&p. we think we will get a little multiple expansion from 14 to 15 times as treasury yields continue to work higher. that will drive out of bounds and into stocks. we think the equity market ends up with a 15% to 20% positive return for the year. >> that is a good way to turn to stocks that are going to perform well. you have len on the big board as your top pick. you reported the blowout earnings this year. the stock has been on a
as well if there. we've got it coming up, the debt ceiling in may, and 27th of this month, we are running out of money. we've got to extend that as well. so i think those are the opportunities where you actually have cash on the sidelines, get in. >> then there's jim lacamp. you say when the music stops, forget about looking for a chair to sit in, get out of the room altogether. why? >> there are a lot of things we have to worry about, bill and maria. this cyprus thing is going to set some really strange precedents for the rest of the periphery. what's going to happen when they re-open these banks? we don't know. are people going to pull all their money out? i think they will. that's going to spill over to spanish and portuguese banks. if you could take your money across the street and put it in a german bank, why in the heck would you leave it in a spanish bank, a greek bank, a cyprus bank? you wouldn't. >> why would that push our stock market lower there, though? >> we have a stock market, bill, that's responding the to and improving global economy. everybody has thought, oh, europe is
over the debt ceiling debate, over europe. and then a new high. i do see the s&p going to 1600 this year. probably this summer. >> really? >> then i see growing chances of a major correction that may take a couple years or may take several years. but it's clear to me u.s. demographics only get worse. we're running $2 trillion. fiscal stimulus. in qe a year to create $300 billion in gdp growth. 2% growth. that's a bad equation. >> nathan, why don't you pick it up. part of harry's argument seems to make sense. he is looking for 1600 in the s&p at some point. change your view at all? >> yeah, i know. harry has been calling for the world to come to an end for a long time. i brought my umbrella. >> what are you, mary poppins? >> i'm going to take off. look, the fact of the matter is we are actually having good news. it's hard for some people to say, really, there's fwood news? you pump $4 trillion in. you don't have the fed pulling its money out which it's not going to do any time soon. you've got to take a look at facts on the ground. we've got $900 billion sitting in money market
development, which is this idea of what will congress do when it hits the debt ceiling. you can see the past two surveys, nearly 90% of respondents think congress will raise the debt ceiling every time it's reached. let's move on to what wall street thinks -- will they consider with the sequester? yes. will it consider and change the makeup. 33% say yes. should it increase spending cuts? 21 #% said. bottom line, only 17% a year think congress should reduce the spending cuts. if you add all of this up together, what you find is a large number who believe congress should keep the plan but they want a little flexibility. how urgent is it? 80% of the march survey said congress should urgently enact a sustainable deficit plan. that has come down to 67% with 25% agreeing that it needs a little more time. that group of respondents, 54 of them market participants say that they should be reducing the deficit. here's some of the can comments. the only thing the economy has to fear is washington itself. an interesting comment. the public wants less cutting of the budget. they are seen as positive. the
's spain, there's the debt ceiling, there's fiscal cliffs, there's all of thee things. yet if you look back at this past four years the economy has continue to grow. it is what we call the plow horse economy. it is not going to fall over. it is going to keep moving forward, productivity is improving. efficiency is improving and profitability is improving. and that's what's been driving the economy and the stock market. >> one last quick comment, chad. >> it is a big "but." brian is correct that the u.s. government -- u.s. economy's improving. but we still have fundamental issues in the structure of our economy, imbalances. we are not out of the woods yet. we're not in self-sustaining recovery. we need to start to see that to become increasingly more bullish on the financial markets. >> that was really good. you're a good double act. we should have you on more. thank you both. brian and chad. have great days. >>> seven years ago today twitter co-founder jack dorsey sent the first tweet writing just setting up my twitter. since then the media giant has become a staple for millions. it has tra
Search Results 0 to 12 of about 13 (some duplicates have been removed)

Terms of Use (10 Mar 2001)